Patton's Ghost
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (11 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 26
Defender wins (North Korean): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1194 | 33% | 2025-02-20 | Won |
| 1225 | 979 | 80% | 2023-06-12 | Won |
| 1198 | 1087 | 65% | 2022-12-21 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2022-06-06 | Lost |
| 1198 | 780 | 92% | 2022-05-23 | Won |
| 975 | 1024 | 43% | 2022-04-11 | Won |
| 1032 | 1061 | 46% | 2022-03-27 | Lost |
| 1035 | 878 | 71% | 2022-03-17 | Won |
| 1123 | 1031 | 63% | 2022-03-05 | Won |
| 756 | 1256 | 5% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 1021 | 996 | 54% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1059.1 vs 1027.2 has a 54.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).