Patton's Ghost
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (11 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (North Korean): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-02-20 | Won |
| 1015 | 993 | 53% | 2023-06-12 | Won |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2022-12-21 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-06-06 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2022-05-23 | Won |
| 1000 | 1081 | 39% | 2022-04-11 | Won |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2022-03-27 | Lost |
| 999 | 890 | 65% | 2022-03-17 | Won |
| 1180 | 1000 | 74% | 2022-03-05 | Won |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1047.1 vs 995.3 has a 57.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).