Patton's Ghost
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (11 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (North Korean): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1181 | 35% | 2025-02-20 | | Won |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2023-06-12 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2022-12-21 | | Won |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2022-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 780 | 86% | 2022-05-23 | | Won |
| 987 | 1063 | 39% | 2022-04-11 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 966 | 59% | 2022-03-17 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1030 | 63% | 2022-03-05 | | Won |
| 734 | 1187 | 7% | 2021-11-22 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 992 | 54% | 2021-11-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1040.7 vs 1018.1 has a 53.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).