First Matanikau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (8 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 31
Defender wins (Japanese): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2025-08-23 | Lost |
| 914 | 1118 | 24% | 2025-08-02 | Lost |
| 964 | 1020 | 42% | 2024-09-20 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1029 | 68% | 2024-03-30 | Tied |
| 970 | 1056 | 38% | 2024-01-24 | Won |
| 970 | 1055 | 38% | 2023-09-08 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 935 | 1010 | 39% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1002.1 vs 1049.5 has a 43.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).