First Matanikau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (8 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 31
Defender wins (Japanese): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 1045 | 54% | 2025-08-23 | Lost |
| 954 | 1050 | 37% | 2025-08-02 | Lost |
| 1021 | 986 | 55% | 2024-09-20 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1030 | 67% | 2024-03-30 | Tied |
| 970 | 1056 | 38% | 2024-01-24 | Won |
| 970 | 1055 | 38% | 2023-09-08 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 960 | 999 | 44% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1030.5 vs 1045 has a 47.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).