French Spirit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (11 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 15
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1061 | 42% | 2026-03-20 | Won |
| 1053 | 1050 | 50% | 2026-02-08 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2024-06-05 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2024-02-18 | Lost |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
| 1067 | 989 | 61% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1077 | 58% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1055 | 53% | 2023-07-24 | Lost |
| 1092 | 955 | 69% | 2022-08-13 | Lost |
| 953 | 1078 | 33% | 2022-02-11 | Won |
| 972 | 1218 | 20% | 2022-01-31 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1063.1 vs 1039.5 has a 53.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).