Moldavian Precursor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (6 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (Romanian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2024-09-09 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1013 | 53% | 2022-04-02 | | Won |
| 1218 | 972 | 80% | 2022-02-21 | | Won |
| 1203 | 1156 | 57% | 2022-02-19 | | Won |
| 1140 | 1029 | 65% | 2021-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1140 | 35% | 2021-12-27 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1104.2 vs 1080.5 has a 53.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).