A Sisyphean Task
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (5 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek Communists (GDA)): 11
Defender wins (Greek (Hellenic)): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1136 | 1005 | 68% | 2026-04-08 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1253 | 40% | 2025-12-28 | Won |
| 1017 | 1020 | 50% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 999 | 1060 | 41% | 2022-06-11 | Won |
| 1127 | 1084 | 56% | 2021-12-04 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1092.2 vs 1084.4 has a 51.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).