The Bitwoded Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (6 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2025-05-04 | Won |
| 1014 | 1036 | 47% | 2022-12-31 | Lost |
| 988 | 965 | 53% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 974 | 1083 | 35% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
| 946 | 961 | 48% | 2022-04-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1016.8 vs 1048 has a 45.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).