The Bitwoded Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (6 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1110 | 38% | 2025-05-04 | Won |
| 980 | 1019 | 44% | 2022-12-31 | Lost |
| 1052 | 955 | 64% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1125 | 1159 | 45% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 997 | 1076 | 39% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
| 948 | 1195 | 19% | 2022-04-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1020.8 vs 1085.7 has a 40.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).