The Bitwoded Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (6 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1116 | 1067 | 57% | 2025-05-04 | Won |
| 1011 | 1036 | 46% | 2022-12-31 | Lost |
| 1044 | 949 | 63% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1152 | 1136 | 52% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 974 | 1090 | 34% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
| 943 | 1005 | 41% | 2022-04-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1040 vs 1047.2 has a 48.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).