The Bitwoded Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (6 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2025-05-04 | Won |
| 977 | 1077 | 36% | 2022-12-31 | Lost |
| 986 | 1045 | 42% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1125 | 1109 | 52% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 997 | 1032 | 45% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
| 948 | 1114 | 28% | 2022-04-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1010.5 vs 1067.8 has a 41.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).