The Bitwoded Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (6 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-05-04 | | Won |
| 986 | 1078 | 37% | 2022-12-31 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2022-10-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2022-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2022-04-30 | | Won |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-04-03 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 989.7 vs 1057.2 has a 40.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).