The Wells of Borgut
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (6 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian/Eritrean): 8
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1100 | 50% | 2025-08-29 | Won |
| 1052 | 1040 | 52% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 986 | 1045 | 42% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2022-07-31 | Lost |
| 950 | 1100 | 30% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 1045 | 36% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1011.3 vs 1060.3 has a 42.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).