The Wells of Borgut
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (5 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian/Eritrean): 3
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1044 | 949 | 63% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2022-07-31 | Lost |
| 981 | 1165 | 26% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
| 943 | 1005 | 41% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1020.8 vs 1051 has a 45.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).