The Wells of Borgut
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (6 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian/Eritrean): 8
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1066 | 1056 | 51% | 2025-08-29 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1056 | 938 | 66% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1062 | 54% | 2022-07-31 | Lost |
| 986 | 1056 | 40% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 1026 | 39% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1031.5 vs 1030.7 has a 50.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).