The Wells of Borgut
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (6 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian/Eritrean): 7
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1124 | 1098 | 54% | 2025-08-29 | Won |
| 1040 | 1026 | 52% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 986 | 1024 | 45% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1098 | 52% | 2022-07-31 | Lost |
| 952 | 1098 | 30% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
| 949 | 1092 | 31% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1027.2 vs 1072.7 has a 43.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).