Cutting Out a Strongpoint
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (3 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (South African): 12
Defender wins (Italian/German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 897 | 60% | 2026-07-08 | Won |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2024-02-03 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1142 | 45% | 2022-07-29 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1086.3 vs 1074.7 has a 51.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).