Goodbye Cruel World
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (5 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian/Russian (NKVD)): 9
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 878 | 67% | 2024-04-07 | | Won |
| 1258 | 732 | 95% | 2023-01-04 | | Won |
| 732 | 1258 | 5% | 2022-12-22 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2022-10-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 986 vs 1024.2 has a 44.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).