The Bet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (4 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Norwegian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 1030 | 43% | 2024-01-25 | Won |
| 1076 | 1143 | 40% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1182 | 1227 | 44% | 2023-04-24 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1227 | 44% | 2023-04-24 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1105.8 vs 1156.8 has a 42.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).