Hell's Headache
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (25 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 47
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 1045 | 47% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1143 | 1010 | 68% | 2024-04-13 | Tied |
| 1037 | 1120 | 38% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1234 | 1054 | 74% | 2023-09-09 | Lost |
| 967 | 1079 | 34% | 2023-07-30 | Won |
| 1028 | 1025 | 50% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1010 | 1031 | 47% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1091 | 1234 | 31% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1033 | 51% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1098 | 42% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1146 | 47% | 2023-04-14 | Lost |
| 892 | 878 | 52% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1289 | 986 | 85% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1030 | 1313 | 16% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1289 | 1134 | 71% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1204 | 1027 | 73% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 870 | 897 | 46% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1124 | 40% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 870 | 994 | 33% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1007 | 1039 | 45% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1030 | 1085 | 42% | | Lost |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1068.6 vs 1066 has a 50.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).