Hell's Headache
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (18 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 35
Defender wins (German): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1144 | 968 | 73% | 2024-04-13 | Tied |
1083 | 1118 | 45% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
968 | 1021 | 42% | 2023-07-30 | Won |
1038 | 1026 | 52% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
968 | 1048 | 39% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
1083 | 1020 | 59% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
999 | 1046 | 43% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
880 | 872 | 51% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
1198 | 1197 | 50% | 2023-04-14 | Lost |
1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
1317 | 1279 | 55% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
1016 | 1300 | 16% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
1317 | 1006 | 86% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
1216 | 1011 | 76% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
916 | 968 | 43% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
961 | 922 | 56% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
898 | 994 | 37% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1070.5 vs 1059.1 has a 51.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).