Hell's Headache
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (25 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 47
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1045 | 47% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1131 | 1144 | 48% | 2024-04-13 | Tied |
| 1028 | 1119 | 37% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1156 | 1055 | 64% | 2023-09-09 | Lost |
| 978 | 1079 | 36% | 2023-07-30 | Won |
| 1029 | 1023 | 51% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1144 | 1032 | 66% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1090 | 1156 | 41% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1084 | 42% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1115 | 39% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1142 | 52% | 2023-04-14 | Lost |
| 881 | 878 | 50% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1115 | 52% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1020 | 75% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1030 | 1333 | 15% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1154 | 58% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1180 | 1027 | 71% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1165 | 1144 | 53% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 890 | 897 | 49% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1135 | 38% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 893 | 994 | 36% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1007 | 1039 | 45% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1030 | 1103 | 40% | | Lost |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1066.6 vs 1080.4 has a 48.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).