Hell's Headache
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (24 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 46
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1047 | 45% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1125 | 991 | 68% | 2024-04-13 | Tied |
| 1054 | 1139 | 38% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1184 | 1055 | 68% | 2023-09-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1035 | 58% | 2023-07-30 | Won |
| 1031 | 1011 | 53% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 991 | 1030 | 44% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1090 | 1184 | 37% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1027 | 54% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1072 | 41% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1176 | 48% | 2023-04-14 | Lost |
| 879 | 878 | 50% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1145 | 52% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1170 | 942 | 79% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 1274 | 19% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1138 | 55% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 941 | 897 | 56% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1135 | 38% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 975 | 994 | 47% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1008 | 1055 | 43% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1018 | 1084 | 41% | | Lost |
| 1084 | 1096 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1065.9 vs 1063 has a 50.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).