The Cloak of Disorder
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (15 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 19
Defender wins (Chinese): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1101 | 1014 | 62% | 2026-02-14 | Won |
| 1134 | 949 | 74% | 2026-02-10 | Won |
| 1006 | 1283 | 17% | 2026-02-07 | Lost |
| 1307 | 1307 | 50% | 2026-01-11 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1073 | 52% | 2025-12-27 | Won |
| 1053 | 1068 | 48% | 2025-10-25 | Lost |
| 999 | 999 | 50% | 2025-09-26 | Won |
| 1283 | 1143 | 69% | 2025-07-27 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1075 | 60% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 1075 | 950 | 67% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1085 | 1201 | 34% | 2024-07-09 | Won |
| 1239 | 1167 | 60% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1062 | 49% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 1018 | 780 | 80% | 2023-07-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1112.2 vs 1077 has a 55.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).