The Cloak of Disorder
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (17 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (Chinese): 19
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 968 | 53% | 2026-04-18 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1060 | 43% | 2026-03-01 | Won |
| 1126 | 1039 | 62% | 2026-02-14 | Won |
| 1143 | 949 | 75% | 2026-02-10 | Won |
| 1013 | 1263 | 19% | 2026-02-07 | Lost |
| 1306 | 1306 | 50% | 2026-01-11 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2025-12-27 | Won |
| 1071 | 1060 | 52% | 2025-10-25 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1104 | 50% | 2025-09-26 | Won |
| 1263 | 1143 | 67% | 2025-07-27 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1078 | 61% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 1078 | 953 | 67% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2024-07-09 | Won |
| 1221 | 1227 | 49% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 997 | 780 | 78% | 2023-07-26 | Won |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1099.2 vs 1067.4 has a 54.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).