Latecomers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (25 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 46
Defender wins (French): 28
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 967 | 54% | 2026-07-03 | | Lost |
| 1119 | 1132 | 48% | 2026-05-02 | | Won |
| 1033 | 907 | 67% | 2026-05-02 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2026-04-11 | | Won |
| 1194 | 1000 | 75% | 2025-11-22 | | Won |
| 808 | 1098 | 16% | 2025-11-21 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1089 | 43% | 2025-10-11 | | Won |
| 692 | 1092 | 9% | 2025-07-19 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2024-09-22 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1002 | 42% | 2024-08-12 | D | Won |
| 1119 | 1029 | 63% | 2024-07-28 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1030 | 57% | 2024-04-25 | | Won |
| 1049 | 1000 | 57% | 2024-03-21 | | Won |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2024-01-27 | | Won |
| 1149 | 1145 | 51% | 2024-01-21 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1059 | 74% | 2024-01-10 | | Won |
| 1013 | 949 | 59% | 2023-11-03 | | Lost |
| 954 | 987 | 45% | 2023-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1001 | 53% | 2023-10-21 | A | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-10-15 | | Lost |
| 1202 | 946 | 81% | 2023-10-08 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1077 | 63% | 2023-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2023-08-01 | | Won |
| 1132 | 862 | 83% | 2023-07-18 | | Won |
| 1119 | 1284 | 28% | 2023-06-04 | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1061.4 vs 1033.1 has a 54.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).