Latecomers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (18 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 25
Defender wins (French): 28
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 947 | 52% | 2024-09-22 | Lost |
| 951 | 1142 | 25% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 999 | 1076 | 39% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1070 | 1077 | 49% | 2024-04-25 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2024-03-21 | Won |
| 1204 | 1087 | 66% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 1108 | 1126 | 47% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
| 1191 | 1029 | 72% | 2024-01-10 | Won |
| 1015 | 951 | 59% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 952 | 1064 | 34% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 1009 | 986 | 53% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1059 | 48% | 2023-10-15 | Lost |
| 1045 | 933 | 66% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 1153 | 1040 | 66% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
| 1309 | 1096 | 77% | 2023-08-01 | Won |
| 1039 | 861 | 74% | 2023-07-18 | Won |
| 1209 | 1270 | 41% | 2023-06-12 | Lost |
| 999 | 1232 | 21% | 2023-06-04 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1072.9 vs 1056.9 has a 52.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).