Posts 9-11
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 3
Attacker wins (Australian): 2
Defender wins (Italian): 0
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 0
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1164 | 1011 | 71% | 2023-12-30 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
1183 | 984 | 76% | 2023-06-13 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1121.3 vs 1004 has a 66.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).