Courage of Cowan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (19 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (American): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1053 | 1136 | 38% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2024-12-23 | Lost |
| 998 | 1094 | 37% | 2024-11-04 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1044 | 78% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1264 | 1044 | 78% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1248 | 1189 | 58% | 2024-06-24 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1116 | 35% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1088 | 72% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 1089 | 35% | 2024-05-12 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1005 | 54% | 2024-03-29 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1036 | 67% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2023-12-05 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1189 | 28% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
| 1046 | 954 | 63% | 2023-10-29 | Lost |
| 956 | 767 | 75% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1013 | 1009 | 51% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1085.8 vs 1063.3 has a 53.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).