Courage of Cowan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (22 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (American): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1078 | 42% | 2026-02-23 | | Won |
| 843 | 932 | 37% | 2025-12-07 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1077 | 57% | 2025-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1079 | 1156 | 39% | 2025-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1115 | 1000 | 66% | 2024-12-23 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 933 | 62% | 2024-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1170 | 1012 | 71% | 2024-08-31 | | Won |
| 1170 | 1012 | 71% | 2024-08-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1211 | 23% | 2024-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1001 | 1132 | 32% | 2024-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1092 | 56% | 2024-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 1036 | 45% | 2024-05-12 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2024-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1068 | 66% | 2024-01-06 | | Won |
| 1001 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1211 | 25% | 2023-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 1020 | 51% | 2023-10-29 | | Lost |
| 963 | 780 | 74% | 2023-08-24 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-07-09 | | Won |
| 1015 | 997 | 53% | 2023-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2023-06-11 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1058.9 vs 1044.8 has a 52.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).