Courage of Cowan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (20 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (American): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1112 | 1099 | 52% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1127 | 40% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1022 | 55% | 2024-12-23 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1041 | 45% | 2024-11-04 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1061 | 70% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1210 | 1061 | 70% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1080 | 1145 | 41% | 2024-06-24 | Lost |
| 999 | 1135 | 31% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1091 | 59% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 1051 | 40% | 2024-05-12 | Lost |
| 1032 | 741 | 84% | 2024-03-29 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1028 | 69% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
| 1001 | 1001 | 50% | 2023-12-05 | Lost |
| 998 | 1145 | 30% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
| 1070 | 945 | 67% | 2023-10-29 | Lost |
| 1043 | 762 | 83% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1014 | 1023 | 49% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1074.5 vs 1046.2 has a 54.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).