To The Cider Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (4 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 7
Defender wins (German): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 1136 | 29% | 2026-06-06 | | Won |
| 981 | 994 | 48% | 2025-05-16 | | Won |
| 1001 | 1058 | 42% | 2024-11-25 | D | Won |
| 1008 | 1154 | 30% | 2024-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 992.8 vs 1085.5 has a 36.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).