Four Stars of Valor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (11 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Allied): 12
Defender wins (German/German (SS)): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Allied): 0
Defender wins (German/German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2026-02-02 | Won |
| 1040 | 950 | 63% | 2025-10-27 | Won |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2025-03-30 | Lost |
| 947 | 1018 | 40% | 2025-02-16 | Won |
| 1127 | 1125 | 50% | 2024-09-15 | Lost |
| 763 | 1051 | 16% | 2024-09-10 | Lost |
| 968 | 1025 | 42% | 2024-07-21 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1186 | 47% | 2024-07-08 | Won |
| 1025 | 1214 | 25% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 945 | 986 | 44% | 2024-03-29 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2024-02-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1005.1 vs 1070.5 has a 40.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).