D-Day on the Ising River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (2 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Philippine (P.A.)): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2026-09-10 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2025-08-23 | | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 996.5 vs 1067 has a 39.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).