D-Day on the Ising River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (2 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Philippine (P.A.)): 3
Defender wins (Japanese): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 1097 | 33% | 2026-09-10 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-08-23 | | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1006 vs 1048.5 has a 43.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).