Orange Blossom Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Canadian): 1
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2025-06-14 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-06-14 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1097 | 25% | 2024-10-15 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1281 | 30% | 2024-07-04 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2024-02-18 | | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 986.6 vs 1069.4 has a 38.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).