Sheep in Wolf's Clothing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (11 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (British): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1215 | 22% | 2025-05-23 | Lost |
1169 | 1169 | 50% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
1099 | 1107 | 49% | 2025-02-14 | Lost |
1169 | 1032 | 69% | 2025-02-02 | Won |
886 | 891 | 49% | 2024-12-10 | Lost |
1053 | 914 | 69% | 2024-11-08 | Won |
1149 | 1146 | 50% | 2024-10-24 | Won |
953 | 1051 | 36% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
953 | 1051 | 36% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
967 | 986 | 47% | 2024-09-29 | Lost |
1085 | 1085 | 50% | 2024-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1043.3 vs 1058.8 has a 47.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).