Sheep in Wolf's Clothing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (17 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 19
Defender wins (British): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 1000 | 60% | 2026-03-21 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1133 | 65% | 2026-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1041 | 76% | 2025-12-28 | | Won |
| 956 | 1182 | 21% | 2025-12-06 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 904 | 81% | 2025-09-05 | | Won |
| 1115 | 1000 | 66% | 2025-08-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2025-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1000 | 74% | 2025-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2025-02-14 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 998 | 74% | 2025-02-02 | | Won |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2024-12-10 | | Lost |
| 992 | 967 | 54% | 2024-11-08 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1214 | 40% | 2024-10-24 | | Won |
| 954 | 1076 | 33% | 2024-10-13 | | Lost |
| 954 | 1076 | 33% | 2024-10-13 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1012 | 66% | 2024-09-29 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | 2024-09-26 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1073.5 vs 1054.1 has a 52.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).