Sheep in Wolf's Clothing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (15 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 17
Defender wins (British): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1283 | 1041 | 80% | 2025-12-28 | Won |
| 971 | 1172 | 24% | 2025-12-06 | Lost |
| 1158 | 889 | 82% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 1077 | 1054 | 53% | 2025-08-21 | Lost |
| 994 | 1216 | 22% | 2025-05-23 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1088 | 52% | 2025-02-14 | Lost |
| 1172 | 992 | 74% | 2025-02-02 | Won |
| 870 | 892 | 47% | 2024-12-10 | Lost |
| 939 | 1012 | 40% | 2024-11-08 | Won |
| 1147 | 1176 | 46% | 2024-10-24 | Won |
| 953 | 1050 | 36% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
| 953 | 1050 | 36% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
| 1066 | 964 | 64% | 2024-09-29 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1096 | 48% | 2024-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1062.5 vs 1057.6 has a 50.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).