Death of the Porcupine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (3 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 1
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2025-04-26 | | Lost |
| 1205 | 1007 | 76% | 2025-01-16 | | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2024-11-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1015.7 vs 1054.3 has a 44.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).