The Erft Effort
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (5 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (American): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 755 | 930 | 27% | 2025-04-08 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1028 | 63% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1086 | 1057 | 54% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1183 | 54% | 2025-03-06 | Lost |
| 1024 | 986 | 55% | 2025-01-03 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1040 vs 1036.8 has a 50.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).