The Erft Effort
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (5 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (American): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 756 | 920 | 28% | 2025-04-08 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1030 | 64% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1099 | 1018 | 61% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1083 | 48% | 2025-03-06 | Lost |
| 1031 | 955 | 61% | 2025-01-03 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1017 vs 1001.2 has a 52.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).