The Erft Effort
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (5 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 738 | 930 | 25% | 2025-04-08 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1036 | 60% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1087 | 1052 | 55% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1191 | 49% | 2025-03-06 | Lost |
| 956 | 1027 | 40% | 2025-01-03 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1014.2 vs 1047.2 has a 45.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).