Then Came the Inferno
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (14 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1051 | 39% | 2026-02-14 | | Lost |
| 1205 | 1176 | 54% | 2025-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1262 | 1000 | 82% | 2025-06-03 | | Won |
| 1095 | 920 | 73% | 2025-05-30 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1051 | 47% | 2025-05-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2025-04-26 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1205 | 27% | 2025-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1311 | 1000 | 86% | 2025-02-15 | | Won |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2025-01-30 | | Won |
| 965 | 1044 | 39% | 2025-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1205 | 30% | 2025-01-10 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1126 | 31% | 2024-12-18 | | Lost |
| 734 | 1203 | 6% | 2024-12-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2024-10-26 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1057 vs 1076.9 has a 47.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).