Then Came the Inferno
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (14 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 972 | 1077 | 35% | 2026-02-14 | | Lost |
| 1194 | 1154 | 56% | 2025-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2025-06-03 | | Won |
| 1059 | 920 | 69% | 2025-05-30 | | Won |
| 1048 | 1050 | 50% | 2025-05-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1231 | 21% | 2025-04-26 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1194 | 28% | 2025-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1315 | 1000 | 86% | 2025-02-15 | | Won |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2025-01-30 | | Won |
| 921 | 1069 | 30% | 2025-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1194 | 27% | 2025-01-10 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1136 | 29% | 2024-12-18 | | Lost |
| 728 | 1284 | 4% | 2024-12-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1231 | 21% | 2024-10-26 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1046.6 vs 1094.3 has a 43.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).