Then Came the Inferno
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (11 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (American): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 1141 | 57% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1036 | 930 | 65% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1036 | 1003 | 55% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1141 | 1141 | 50% | 2025-04-26 | Won |
| 1008 | 1189 | 26% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1307 | 1005 | 85% | 2025-02-15 | Won |
| 952 | 1169 | 22% | 2025-01-26 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1189 | 28% | 2025-01-10 | Lost |
| 966 | 1154 | 25% | 2024-12-18 | Lost |
| 749 | 1257 | 5% | 2024-12-09 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1141 | 52% | 2024-10-26 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1051.3 vs 1119.9 has a 40.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).