For the Motherland
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 15
Defender wins (German): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1062 | 882 | 74% | 2026-09-30 | | Won |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2026-08-18 | D | Lost |
| 1064 | 1095 | 46% | 2026-08-07 | | Lost |
| 1095 | 1064 | 54% | 2026-07-10 | | Tied |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2026-05-28 | | Lost |
| 997 | 873 | 67% | 2025-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 972 | 63% | 2025-10-08 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1065 | 59% | 2025-08-07 | | Lost |
| 1119 | 1000 | 66% | 2025-05-29 | | Won |
| 1049 | 952 | 64% | 2025-05-25 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1185 | 35% | 2025-05-03 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1065.4 vs 1005.1 has a 58.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).