For the Motherland
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (10 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2026-08-18 | D | Lost |
| 1098 | 1063 | 55% | 2026-08-07 | | Lost |
| 1063 | 1098 | 45% | 2026-07-10 | | Tied |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2026-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 859 | 70% | 2025-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1090 | 927 | 72% | 2025-10-08 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1007 | 66% | 2025-08-07 | | Lost |
| 1119 | 1000 | 66% | 2025-05-29 | | Won |
| 1036 | 965 | 60% | 2025-05-25 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1156 | 36% | 2025-05-03 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1072.3 vs 1002.6 has a 59.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).