Rough Recess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (10 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 922 | 68% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 998 | 1154 | 29% | 2025-09-10 | Lost |
| 890 | 890 | 50% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 831 | 979 | 30% | 2025-08-12 | Lost |
| 937 | 1061 | 33% | 2025-08-10 | Won |
| 1026 | 1035 | 49% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 873 | 873 | 50% | 2025-07-15 | Lost |
| 972 | 934 | 55% | 2025-06-21 | Won |
| 882 | 945 | 41% | 2025-06-19 | Won |
| 976 | 970 | 51% | 2025-04-26 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 943.5 vs 976.3 has a 45.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).