Rough Recess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (12 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 15
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1073 | 52% | 2025-12-11 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1201 | 46% | 2025-11-26 | Won |
| 1075 | 918 | 71% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1260 | 25% | 2025-09-10 | Lost |
| 941 | 941 | 50% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 827 | 979 | 29% | 2025-08-12 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1034 | 46% | 2025-08-10 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2025-07-15 | Lost |
| 938 | 980 | 44% | 2025-06-21 | Won |
| 869 | 982 | 34% | 2025-06-19 | Won |
| 1001 | 860 | 69% | 2025-04-26 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 993.8 vs 1014.1 has a 47.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).