Rough Recess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (6 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 831 | 979 | 30% | 2025-08-12 | Lost |
| 949 | 1005 | 42% | 2025-08-10 | Won |
| 1032 | 1035 | 50% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 966 | 1010 | 44% | 2025-06-21 | Won |
| 886 | 950 | 41% | 2025-06-19 | Won |
| 976 | 970 | 51% | 2025-04-26 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 940 vs 991.5 has a 42.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).