Rough Recess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (15 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1034 | 46% | 2026-07-07 | Won |
| 1040 | 1006 | 55% | 2026-06-20 | Won |
| 973 | 990 | 48% | 2025-12-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 1038 | 49% | 2025-12-11 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1076 | 50% | 2025-11-26 | Won |
| 1083 | 914 | 73% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1174 | 34% | 2025-09-10 | Lost |
| 940 | 940 | 50% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 820 | 978 | 29% | 2025-08-12 | Lost |
| 1078 | 953 | 67% | 2025-08-10 | Won |
| 1060 | 1063 | 50% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 1034 | 890 | 70% | 2025-07-15 | Lost |
| 947 | 1092 | 30% | 2025-06-21 | Won |
| 880 | 989 | 35% | 2025-06-19 | Won |
| 1011 | 837 | 73% | 2025-04-26 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1002.7 vs 998.3 has a 50.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).