Rough Recess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (12 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 14
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1059 | 1093 | 45% | 2025-12-11 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1208 | 48% | 2025-11-26 | Won |
| 1073 | 918 | 71% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1206 | 27% | 2025-09-10 | Lost |
| 941 | 941 | 50% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 828 | 979 | 30% | 2025-08-12 | Lost |
| 939 | 1065 | 33% | 2025-08-10 | Won |
| 1040 | 1032 | 51% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 893 | 893 | 50% | 2025-07-15 | Lost |
| 971 | 1075 | 35% | 2025-06-21 | Won |
| 881 | 970 | 37% | 2025-06-19 | Won |
| 1023 | 898 | 67% | 2025-04-26 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 990.1 vs 1023.2 has a 45.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).