Rough Recess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (15 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 20
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 1052 | 41% | 2026-07-07 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1009 | 54% | 2026-06-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 990 | 51% | 2025-12-20 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2025-11-26 | | Won |
| 1090 | 927 | 72% | 2025-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1192 | 28% | 2025-09-10 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2025-09-05 | | Won |
| 820 | 979 | 29% | 2025-08-12 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2025-08-10 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2025-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2025-07-15 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2025-06-21 | | Won |
| 859 | 1010 | 30% | 2025-06-19 | | Won |
| 1011 | 837 | 73% | 2025-04-26 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1010.3 vs 989.2 has a 53.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).