Tip of the Spear
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (6 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German (SS)): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1006 | 1140 | 32% | 2026-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1230 | 25% | 2026-10-08 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2026-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1069 | 904 | 72% | 2026-09-24 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2026-09-23 | | Won |
| 1182 | 989 | 75% | 2026-09-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1066.5 vs 1043.8 has a 53.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).