In Sight of the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 207 (43 on the archive and 164 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 68
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 137
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 1010 | 41% | 2025-04-14 | Lost |
| 756 | 910 | 29% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 889 | 904 | 48% | 2022-05-25 | Won |
| 1102 | 1226 | 33% | 2022-01-13 | Won |
| 967 | 937 | 54% | 2021-06-07 | Lost |
| 967 | 931 | 55% | 2020-04-26 | Lost |
| 1139 | 916 | 78% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1307 | 1173 | 68% | 2020-02-02 | Won |
| 937 | 971 | 45% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 1114 | 976 | 69% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1054 | 892 | 72% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2017-10-15 | Won |
| 894 | 1102 | 23% | 2017-05-01 | Lost |
| 878 | 973 | 37% | 2017-01-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2016-10-12 | Lost |
| 967 | 1057 | 37% | 2016-06-12 | Lost |
| 987 | 967 | 53% | 2015-09-13 | Lost |
| 958 | 1009 | 43% | 2015-01-04 | Won |
| 976 | 951 | 54% | 2013-11-29 | Won |
| 1102 | 918 | 74% | 2013-08-10 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2013-02-27 | Lost |
| 900 | 1015 | 34% | 2013-02-02 | Lost |
| 881 | 946 | 41% | 2012-11-23 | Lost |
| 974 | 973 | 50% | 2012-11-04 | Tied |
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 943 | 1108 | 28% | 2012-01-04 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2011-12-04 | Lost |
| 889 | 892 | 50% | 2011-06-10 | Won |
| 1048 | 972 | 61% | 2010-10-09 | Won |
| 1048 | 1062 | 48% | 2010-09-30 | Lost |
| 1021 | 870 | 70% | 2010-06-06 | Won |
| 1076 | 959 | 66% | 2008-07-21 | Lost |
| 943 | 1012 | 40% | 2006-08-09 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1009 | 57% | 2004-11-27 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1001 | 60% | 2004-07-13 | Won |
| 1101 | 978 | 67% | 2004-06-19 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1068 | 50% | 1999-10-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 1249 | 46% | 1999-05-30 | Won |
| 1054 | 866 | 75% | 1998-09-14 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1184 | 41% | 1996-10-10 | Lost |
| 881 | 1184 | 15% | 1994-03-04 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1096 | 48% | | Lost |
| 1084 | 1096 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1009.1 vs 1006.1 has a 50.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).