In Sight of the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 208 (44 on the archive and 165 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 69
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 138
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1032 | 45% | 2025-04-14 | | Lost |
| 914 | 840 | 60% | 2023-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1041 | 799 | 80% | 2022-05-25 | | Won |
| 1166 | 1000 | 72% | 2022-01-13 | | Won |
| 955 | 1000 | 44% | 2021-06-07 | | Lost |
| 955 | 903 | 57% | 2020-04-26 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 914 | 72% | 2020-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1266 | 1185 | 61% | 2020-02-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 892 | 65% | 2020-01-12 | | Won |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2018-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 881 | 74% | 2018-04-14 | | Won |
| 971 | 1052 | 39% | 2017-10-15 | | Won |
| 894 | 1166 | 17% | 2017-05-01 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1000 | 37% | 2017-01-23 | | Lost |
| 909 | 1000 | 37% | 2016-10-12 | | Lost |
| 955 | 1000 | 44% | 2016-06-12 | | Lost |
| 988 | 955 | 55% | 2015-09-13 | | Lost |
| 960 | 989 | 46% | 2015-01-04 | | Won |
| 973 | 951 | 53% | 2013-11-29 | | Won |
| 1166 | 955 | 77% | 2013-08-10 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2013-02-27 | | Lost |
| 900 | 1000 | 36% | 2013-02-02 | | Lost |
| 910 | 1000 | 37% | 2012-11-23 | | Lost |
| 958 | 1000 | 44% | 2012-11-04 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 910 | 63% | 2012-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1111 | 35% | 2012-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2011-12-04 | | Lost |
| 889 | 1000 | 35% | 2011-06-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2010-10-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2010-09-30 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2010-06-06 | | Won |
| 917 | 1000 | 38% | 2008-07-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2006-08-09 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1034 | 38% | 2004-11-27 | | Lost |
| 1042 | 1000 | 56% | 2004-07-13 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2004-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1116 | 1000 | 66% | 2003-08-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 1999-10-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 1999-05-30 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 1998-09-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 1996-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 1994-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1202 | 1000 | 76% | | | Lost |
| 1202 | 1000 | 76% | | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1008.1 vs 998.2 has a 51.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).