In Sight of the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 192 (34 on the archive and 158 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 64
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 127
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1032 | 780 | 81% | 2022-05-25 | Won |
1109 | 1218 | 35% | 2022-01-13 | Won |
1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2021-06-07 | Lost |
1013 | 1022 | 49% | 2020-04-26 | Lost |
1131 | 916 | 78% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
1292 | 1159 | 68% | 2020-02-02 | Won |
919 | 919 | 50% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
1022 | 967 | 58% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
1083 | 892 | 75% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2017-10-15 | Won |
893 | 1109 | 22% | 2017-05-01 | Lost |
881 | 971 | 37% | 2017-01-23 | Lost |
924 | 971 | 43% | 2016-10-12 | Lost |
1013 | 1057 | 44% | 2016-06-12 | Lost |
1018 | 1013 | 51% | 2015-09-13 | Lost |
963 | 1000 | 45% | 2015-01-04 | Won |
967 | 952 | 52% | 2013-11-29 | Won |
1109 | 917 | 75% | 2013-08-10 | Lost |
1019 | 1036 | 48% | 2013-02-27 | Lost |
900 | 1055 | 29% | 2013-02-02 | Lost |
911 | 946 | 45% | 2012-11-23 | Lost |
973 | 971 | 50% | 2012-11-04 | Tied |
924 | 911 | 52% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
944 | 1115 | 27% | 2012-01-04 | Lost |
1009 | 1010 | 50% | 2011-12-04 | Lost |
959 | 892 | 60% | 2011-06-10 | Won |
911 | 972 | 41% | 2010-10-09 | Won |
1048 | 1062 | 48% | 2010-09-30 | Lost |
1003 | 871 | 68% | 2010-06-06 | Won |
987 | 961 | 54% | 2008-07-21 | Lost |
943 | 1010 | 40% | 2006-08-09 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2004-11-27 | Lost |
1097 | 979 | 66% | 2004-06-19 | Lost |
1083 | 865 | 78% | 1998-09-14 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1003 vs 988.3 has a 52.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).