A Bridgehead Too Wet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (10 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (British): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-09-25 | Won |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
| 1007 | 986 | 53% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2019-01-21 | Lost |
| 949 | 1029 | 39% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1139 | 51% | 2016-07-10 | Won |
| 1068 | 1019 | 57% | 2014-02-27 | Won |
| 1019 | 1068 | 43% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2008-02-02 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1139 | 47% | 1995-08-17 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1057.8 vs 1059.5 has a 49.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).