A Bridgehead Too Wet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (10 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (British): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2024-09-25 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2021-01-05 | | Won |
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2020-05-02 | | Won |
| 1075 | 964 | 65% | 2019-01-21 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2018-08-04 | | Lost |
| 1129 | 1023 | 65% | 2016-07-10 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2014-02-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2013-08-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2008-02-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 1995-08-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1056.3 vs 1018.5 has a 55.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).