The Rock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (15 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 45
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 1073 | 47% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1051 | 959 | 63% | 2018-06-13 | Won |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2017-05-30 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2017-05-08 | Won |
| 879 | 1140 | 18% | 2016-10-04 | Lost |
| 959 | 943 | 52% | 2015-05-14 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1003 | 55% | 2015-03-28 | Won |
| 1121 | 1094 | 54% | 2014-07-24 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1136 | 42% | 2007-07-12 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1118 | 68% | 1995-07-23 | Won |
| 1117 | 1000 | 66% | | Lost |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Lost |
| 1117 | 1118 | 50% | | Won |
| 1117 | 1011 | 65% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1072.2 vs 1064.4 has a 51.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).