The Rock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (16 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 45
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 1074 | 50% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1051 | 969 | 62% | 2018-06-13 | Won |
| 1054 | 1122 | 40% | 2017-05-30 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2017-05-08 | Won |
| 918 | 1073 | 29% | 2016-10-04 | Lost |
| 856 | 948 | 37% | 2015-05-14 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1047 | 47% | 2015-03-28 | Won |
| 1122 | 1109 | 52% | 2014-07-24 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1174 | 40% | 2007-07-12 | Lost |
| 739 | 1151 | 9% | 2001-05-15 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1118 | 60% | 1995-07-23 | Won |
| 1118 | 1000 | 66% | | Lost |
| 1118 | 1091 | 54% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Lost |
| 1118 | 1118 | 50% | | Won |
| 1118 | 1023 | 63% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1045 vs 1071.9 has a 46.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).