The Rock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (17 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 45
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 1178 | 22% | 2026-06-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1120 | 43% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1038 | 961 | 61% | 2018-06-13 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2017-05-30 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1008 | 54% | 2017-05-08 | Won |
| 924 | 1073 | 30% | 2016-10-04 | Lost |
| 1114 | 948 | 72% | 2015-05-14 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1019 | 50% | 2015-03-28 | Won |
| 1120 | 1107 | 52% | 2014-07-24 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1109 | 44% | 2007-07-12 | Lost |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2001-05-15 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1118 | 44% | 1995-07-23 | Won |
| 1095 | 1000 | 63% | | Lost |
| 1095 | 1095 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1095 | 1095 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1095 | 1119 | 47% | | Won |
| 1095 | 1012 | 62% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1041.4 vs 1071.9 has a 45.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).