The Rock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (16 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 45
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 1074 | 50% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1051 | 949 | 64% | 2018-06-13 | Won |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2017-05-30 | Lost |
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2017-05-08 | Won |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2016-10-04 | Lost |
| 961 | 946 | 52% | 2015-05-14 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1061 | 46% | 2015-03-28 | Won |
| 1120 | 1096 | 53% | 2014-07-24 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1115 | 48% | 2007-07-12 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2001-05-15 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1118 | 61% | 1995-07-23 | Won |
| 1090 | 1000 | 63% | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1118 | 46% | | Won |
| 1090 | 1054 | 55% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1041.1 vs 1067.9 has a 46.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).