The Rock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (16 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 45
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 1074 | 50% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1051 | 967 | 62% | 2018-06-13 | Won |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2017-05-30 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2017-05-08 | Won |
| 922 | 1050 | 32% | 2016-10-04 | Lost |
| 934 | 949 | 48% | 2015-05-14 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1063 | 45% | 2015-03-28 | Won |
| 1120 | 1096 | 53% | 2014-07-24 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1127 | 47% | 2007-07-12 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2001-05-15 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1118 | 55% | 1995-07-23 | Won |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | | Lost |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Lost |
| 1103 | 1118 | 48% | | Won |
| 1103 | 1035 | 60% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1041.4 vs 1066.8 has a 46.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).