Midnight Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 986 | 967 | 53% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 1222 | 1234 | 48% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 986 | 926 | 59% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 1100 | 1051 | 57% | 2006-01-09 | Won |
| 914 | 1062 | 30% | 2002-05-27 | Won |
| 1062 | 846 | 78% | 2001-02-01 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1079 | 46% | 1999-02-17 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1045.5 vs 1020.5 has a 53.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).