Broich Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 245 (25 on the archive and 221 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 120
Defender wins (German): 125
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1075 | 35% | 2023-10-14 | A | Lost |
| 994 | 1050 | 42% | 2018-01-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2017-08-04 | | Won |
| 1187 | 1044 | 69% | 2016-03-10 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1049 | 64% | 2015-08-28 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2014-01-25 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2014-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2013-08-10 | | Won |
| 1108 | 954 | 71% | 2013-07-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2010-07-25 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2008-06-07 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2007-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2007-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2007-01-05 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2006-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1347 | 1141 | 77% | 2005-10-08 | | Won |
| 907 | 1009 | 36% | 2004-02-17 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2003-08-07 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2002-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 1999-03-08 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 1998-05-27 | | Won |
| 1002 | 1024 | 47% | 1998-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1998-03-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1998-03-07 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1087 | 60% | 1996-01-20 | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1077.4 vs 1046.8 has a 54.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).