Scouts Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 185 (31 on the archive and 154 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 79
Defender wins (German): 105
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1030 | 48% | 2026-05-20 | Won |
| 943 | 1099 | 29% | 2023-12-19 | Lost |
| 973 | 1035 | 41% | 2023-04-15 | Won |
| 1001 | 1063 | 41% | 2022-12-17 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-11-01 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1099 | 47% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 1226 | 998 | 79% | 2019-10-03 | Won |
| 1071 | 969 | 64% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1178 | 901 | 83% | 2016-11-10 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1155 | 38% | 2014-01-19 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2013-10-07 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2008-04-01 | Lost |
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2007-08-28 | Won |
| 1056 | 1046 | 51% | 2006-05-21 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1026 | 75% | 2006-05-14 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1137 | 36% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1154 | 907 | 81% | 2003-09-14 | Won |
| 1159 | 833 | 87% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
| 985 | 1060 | 39% | 2002-05-26 | Won |
| 1027 | 1342 | 14% | 2001-12-01 | Lost |
| 998 | 998 | 50% | 2001-04-07 | Lost |
| 1141 | 936 | 76% | 1999-10-10 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1190 | 35% | 1999-06-30 | Lost |
| 948 | 1005 | 42% | 1998-10-23 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1080 | 74% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 1046 | 1065 | 47% | 1998-08-20 | Lost |
| 984 | 1018 | 45% | 1998-06-05 | Lost |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 1998-01-21 | Won |
| 1244 | 1263 | 47% | 1997-10-18 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1180 | 47% | 1997-08-28 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1099 | 59% | 1996-07-29 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1088.8 vs 1054.9 has a 54.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).