Scouts Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 178 (24 on the archive and 154 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 76
Defender wins (German): 101
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1029 | 48% | 2023-12-19 | Lost |
| 1025 | 969 | 58% | 2023-04-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1063 | 46% | 2022-12-17 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-11-01 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1102 | 50% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1044 | 74% | 2019-10-03 | Won |
| 1067 | 969 | 64% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 988 | 1066 | 39% | 2016-11-10 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1153 | 38% | 2014-01-19 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1056 | 48% | 2007-08-28 | Won |
| 1177 | 1010 | 72% | 2006-05-14 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1132 | 36% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1090 | 928 | 72% | 2003-09-14 | Won |
| 1200 | 834 | 89% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
| 985 | 1050 | 41% | 2002-05-26 | Won |
| 1063 | 1063 | 50% | 2001-04-07 | Lost |
| 1152 | 937 | 78% | 1999-10-10 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 1999-06-30 | Lost |
| 947 | 934 | 52% | 1998-10-23 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 1998-08-20 | Lost |
| 984 | 1052 | 40% | 1998-06-05 | Lost |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1998-01-21 | Won |
| 1127 | 1118 | 51% | 1997-08-28 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1079 | 67% | 1996-07-29 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1078.8 vs 1029.9 has a 56.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).