Scouts Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 177 (23 on the archive and 154 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 75
Defender wins (German): 101
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2023-12-19 | Lost |
| 1006 | 969 | 55% | 2023-04-15 | Won |
| 1055 | 1063 | 49% | 2022-12-17 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-11-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1099 | 50% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 1223 | 971 | 81% | 2019-10-03 | Won |
| 1066 | 969 | 64% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 948 | 1082 | 32% | 2016-11-10 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1154 | 38% | 2014-01-19 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2007-08-28 | Won |
| 1189 | 1012 | 73% | 2006-05-14 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1121 | 37% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1090 | 928 | 72% | 2003-09-14 | Won |
| 1219 | 846 | 90% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
| 1132 | 1132 | 50% | 2001-04-07 | Lost |
| 1140 | 931 | 77% | 1999-10-10 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 1999-06-30 | Lost |
| 947 | 911 | 55% | 1998-10-23 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 1998-08-20 | Lost |
| 984 | 1048 | 41% | 1998-06-05 | Lost |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1998-01-21 | Won |
| 1104 | 1115 | 48% | 1997-08-28 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1078 | 69% | 1996-07-29 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1085.3 vs 1027.9 has a 58.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).