Scouts Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 173 (19 on the archive and 154 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 73
Defender wins (German): 99
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1003 | 54% | 2023-12-19 | Lost |
| 1038 | 983 | 58% | 2023-04-15 | Won |
| 1100 | 1063 | 55% | 2022-12-17 | Won |
| 1176 | 1186 | 49% | 2021-11-01 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 1224 | 1103 | 67% | 2019-10-03 | Won |
| 1067 | 969 | 64% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1028 | 933 | 63% | 2016-11-10 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1143 | 39% | 2014-01-19 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1076 | 49% | 2007-08-28 | Won |
| 1135 | 1010 | 67% | 2006-05-14 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1207 | 27% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1011 | 937 | 60% | 2003-09-14 | Won |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2001-04-07 | Lost |
| 963 | 1018 | 42% | 1998-10-23 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1055 | 49% | 1998-08-20 | Lost |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 1998-06-05 | Lost |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1998-01-21 | Won |
| 1097 | 1116 | 47% | 1997-08-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1068.8 vs 1044.1 has a 53.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).