Scouts Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 181 (27 on the archive and 154 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 77
Defender wins (German): 103
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2023-12-19 | Lost |
| 995 | 969 | 54% | 2023-04-15 | Won |
| 1014 | 1063 | 43% | 2022-12-17 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-11-01 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1099 | 45% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 1226 | 983 | 80% | 2019-10-03 | Won |
| 1071 | 969 | 64% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1054 | 995 | 58% | 2016-11-10 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1154 | 38% | 2014-01-19 | Lost |
| 1105 | 980 | 67% | 2007-08-28 | Won |
| 1068 | 1010 | 58% | 2006-05-21 | Lost |
| 1260 | 1026 | 79% | 2006-05-14 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1136 | 36% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1076 | 927 | 70% | 2003-09-14 | Won |
| 1170 | 831 | 88% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
| 985 | 1068 | 38% | 2002-05-26 | Won |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2001-04-07 | Lost |
| 1140 | 936 | 76% | 1999-10-10 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 1999-06-30 | Lost |
| 948 | 959 | 48% | 1998-10-23 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1077 | 77% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 1046 | 1064 | 47% | 1998-08-20 | Lost |
| 984 | 1037 | 42% | 1998-06-05 | Lost |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 1998-01-21 | Won |
| 1244 | 1283 | 44% | 1997-10-18 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1180 | 47% | 1997-08-28 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1098 | 60% | 1996-07-29 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1096.6 vs 1049.2 has a 56.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).