Then Things Got Worse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (French): 7
Defender wins (German): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 1009 | 987 | 53% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1221 | 1166 | 58% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
| 1221 | 1213 | 51% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
| 1221 | 1030 | 75% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
| 946 | 1010 | 41% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1028 | 55% | 2008-12-21 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1157 | 34% | 2006-01-14 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1034 | 51% | 1998-09-30 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1998-01-07 | Won |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 1998-01-02 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1037.7 vs 1079.6 has a 44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).