Then Things Got Worse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (13 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 32
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 1182 | 19% | 2026-11-01 | D | Lost |
| 1074 | 979 | 63% | 2024-01-26 | D | Won |
| 974 | 987 | 48% | 2022-03-03 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1110 | 65% | 2021-08-10 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1172 | 57% | 2021-08-09 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-01-26 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1052 | 1035 | 52% | 2008-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1131 | 32% | 2006-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 1998-09-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1998-01-07 | | Won |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 1998-01-02 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1997-08-31 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1054.5 vs 1065.8 has a 48.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).