Then Things Got Worse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (French): 7
Defender wins (German): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 1041 | 987 | 58% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1219 | 1163 | 58% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 1193 | 54% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
| 1219 | 1030 | 75% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
| 949 | 802 | 70% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1035 | 54% | 2008-12-21 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1145 | 35% | 2006-01-14 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1036 | 54% | 1998-09-30 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1998-01-07 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 1998-01-02 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1039.9 vs 1060.5 has a 47.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).