The Last Roadblock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 114 (21 on the archive and 93 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 55
Defender wins (French / Norwegian): 57
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French / Norwegian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1142 | 32% | 2024-07-31 | Won |
| 1079 | 1015 | 59% | 2023-06-28 | Won |
| 1044 | 1015 | 54% | 2023-06-27 | Won |
| 1024 | 996 | 54% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
| 991 | 982 | 51% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1022 | 1082 | 41% | 2021-03-19 | Won |
| 927 | 906 | 53% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-07-27 | Lost |
| 1024 | 948 | 61% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1066 | 58% | 2017-09-11 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1191 | 50% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1196 | 50% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1193 | 964 | 79% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 1100 | 918 | 74% | 2013-08-27 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2013-03-10 | Won |
| 1144 | 1080 | 59% | 2008-04-12 | Won |
| 1106 | 1174 | 40% | 2005-10-08 | Tied |
| 982 | 927 | 58% | 2003-06-20 | Won |
| 927 | 1003 | 39% | 2003-05-17 | Lost |
| 1010 | 982 | 54% | 2002-04-27 | Won |
| 1011 | 1151 | 31% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1052.1 vs 1033.7 has a 52.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).