The Last Roadblock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (17 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 56
Defender wins (French / Norwegian): 50
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French / Norwegian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1044 | 1012 | 55% | 2023-06-27 | Won |
983 | 993 | 49% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
983 | 983 | 50% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
1022 | 1030 | 49% | 2021-03-19 | Won |
780 | 1032 | 19% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
1011 | 994 | 52% | 2020-07-27 | Lost |
983 | 924 | 58% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
1109 | 1046 | 59% | 2017-09-11 | Lost |
1327 | 1146 | 74% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
1327 | 975 | 88% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
1008 | 917 | 63% | 2013-08-27 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2013-03-10 | Won |
1197 | 1080 | 66% | 2008-04-12 | Won |
1096 | 1142 | 43% | 2005-10-08 | Tied |
995 | 987 | 51% | 2003-06-20 | Won |
987 | 1004 | 48% | 2003-05-17 | Lost |
1083 | 982 | 64% | 2002-04-27 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1053.1 vs 1012.6 has a 55.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).