Buchholz Station
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (16 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 70
Defender wins (American): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 1040 | 56% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
| 959 | 1011 | 43% | 2022-12-26 | Lost |
| 959 | 1011 | 43% | 2022-12-26 | Lost |
| 1002 | 999 | 50% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2017-12-13 | Won |
| 1077 | 999 | 61% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1010 | 53% | 2015-06-01 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1033 | 58% | 2014-07-23 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-11-07 | Won |
| 1121 | 1060 | 59% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2006-01-25 | Lost |
| 833 | 1065 | 21% | 2003-05-17 | Won |
| 1149 | 1065 | 62% | 2002-03-09 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1056 | 56% | 1998-07-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1002.8 vs 1021.8 has a 47.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).