Buchholz Station
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (16 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 70
Defender wins (American): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 1040 | 51% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
| 986 | 976 | 51% | 2022-12-26 | Lost |
| 986 | 976 | 51% | 2022-12-26 | Lost |
| 1013 | 980 | 55% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2017-12-13 | Won |
| 1027 | 980 | 57% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
| 853 | 987 | 32% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 853 | 987 | 32% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2015-06-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1036 | 53% | 2014-07-23 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-11-07 | Won |
| 1120 | 1068 | 57% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2006-01-25 | Lost |
| 831 | 1204 | 10% | 2003-05-17 | Won |
| 1145 | 1204 | 42% | 2002-03-09 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1056 | 56% | 1998-07-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1001.3 vs 1032.7 has a 45.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).