Skirmish In The Snow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (10 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
953 | 1063 | 35% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
949 | 906 | 56% | 2018-03-06 | Won |
906 | 1012 | 35% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
1131 | 1028 | 64% | 2015-06-27 | Lost |
1109 | 1175 | 41% | 2014-10-08 | Lost |
1040 | 1008 | 55% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2010-06-11 | Won |
1131 | 1227 | 37% | 2007-05-10 | Won |
1036 | 992 | 56% | 2007-03-16 | Lost |
1019 | 1055 | 45% | 2004-07-02 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1027.4 vs 1055.3 has a 45.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).