Celles Melee
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 1022 | 49% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 1079 | 931 | 70% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2014-07-05 | Lost |
| 1144 | 944 | 76% | 2013-12-30 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1004 | 68% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 983 | 930 | 58% | 2007-03-14 | Lost |
| 983 | 930 | 58% | 2007-03-14 | Lost |
| 1099 | 984 | 66% | 2006-03-06 | Won |
| 1051 | 1316 | 18% | 2006-01-23 | Lost |
| 1316 | 1051 | 82% | 2006-01-23 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2003-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1080.7 vs 1017.5 has a 58.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).