Down Radio Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (12 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 34
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1238 | 1144 | 63% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1120 | 49% | 2018-11-29 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1024 | 57% | 2017-08-27 | Lost |
| 912 | 1067 | 29% | 2014-05-16 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1012 | 57% | 2009-10-04 | Lost |
| 1303 | 1173 | 68% | 2009-09-05 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1034 | 62% | 2009-01-20 | Lost |
| 1034 | 900 | 68% | 2008-11-07 | Won |
| 1049 | 1197 | 30% | 2008-05-09 | Won |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 2008-05-05 | Won |
| 1053 | 1140 | 38% | 2005-10-02 | Won |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1092.4 vs 1046.3 has a 56.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).