Raw Deal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (5 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (American): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
| 1086 | 897 | 75% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 1001 | 1066 | 41% | 2014-05-14 | Won |
| 847 | 1248 | 9% | 2003-11-20 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 1998-03-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1007.2 vs 1062.6 has a 42.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).