Raw Deal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (6 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (American): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
| 1098 | 897 | 76% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 1009 | 1067 | 42% | 2014-05-14 | Won |
| 830 | 1186 | 11% | 2003-11-20 | Lost |
| 1050 | 880 | 73% | 1998-10-31 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 1998-03-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1019.7 vs 1021.8 has a 49.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).