Lion's Share
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (British / French): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1003 | 51% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 1003 | 993 | 51% | 2014-11-08 | Won |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2003-02-20 | Won |
| 1188 | 998 | 75% | 2002-12-11 | Won |
| 967 | 994 | 46% | 2001-07-12 | Won |
| 1021 | 1343 | 14% | 2000-08-01 | Won |
| 1220 | 970 | 81% | 1999-03-06 | Won |
| 1137 | 1159 | 47% | 1998-07-25 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1290 | 46% | 1998-03-11 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1150 | 66% | 1998-03-07 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1117.5 vs 1070.8 has a 56.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).