Twilight of the Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (12 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 42
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1144 | 1131 | 52% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-03-25 | Lost |
| 885 | 1213 | 13% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
| 1054 | 992 | 59% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 1131 | 1144 | 48% | 2015-11-12 | Won |
| 1140 | 986 | 71% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1344 | 1148 | 76% | 2011-06-23 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1019 | 78% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2005-11-28 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1049 | 44% | 2005-11-18 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1209 | 28% | 2005-08-16 | Won |
| 1096 | 1344 | 19% | 2003-11-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1094.1 vs 1106 has a 48.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).