Twilight of the Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (10 on the archive and 78 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 41
Defender wins (German): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 805 | 1109 | 15% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1044 | 48% | 2024-03-25 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1270 | 18% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
| 1183 | 954 | 79% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 1109 | 805 | 85% | 2015-11-12 | Won |
| 1152 | 994 | 71% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1195 | 1026 | 73% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1014 | 1038 | 47% | 2005-11-28 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1014 | 53% | 2005-11-18 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1208 | 34% | 2005-08-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1061.9 vs 1046.2 has a 52.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).