The Five Pound Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 226 (33 on the archive and 193 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 99
Defender wins (British): 127
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1072 | 46% | 2025-07-29 | Lost |
| 986 | 1006 | 47% | 2025-01-10 | Won |
| 1055 | 966 | 63% | 2024-06-14 | Won |
| 1082 | 1048 | 55% | 2022-08-05 | Lost |
| 1289 | 1166 | 67% | 2022-06-18 | Lost |
| 1289 | 1213 | 61% | 2022-06-18 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1192 | 42% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
| 986 | 1192 | 23% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1111 | 76% | 2018-08-17 | Won |
| 881 | 1193 | 14% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1067 | 51% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1159 | 49% | 2016-10-07 | Won |
| 993 | 1158 | 28% | 2016-01-15 | Won |
| 999 | 1017 | 47% | 2014-12-10 | Lost |
| 988 | 1223 | 21% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1114 | 1162 | 43% | 2014-07-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1099 | 37% | 2014-03-21 | Won |
| 946 | 1074 | 32% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1067 | 62% | 2013-10-19 | Lost |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2013-04-06 | Lost |
| 1060 | 903 | 71% | 2010-03-17 | Won |
| 1118 | 939 | 74% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
| 1227 | 1413 | 26% | 2008-05-18 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1072 | 59% | 2008-03-08 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1021 | 49% | 2007-05-12 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1021 | 49% | 2007-05-12 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1136 | 73% | 2006-09-09 | Lost |
| 982 | 1313 | 13% | 2006-03-24 | Won |
| 1206 | 1039 | 72% | 2006-03-17 | Lost |
| 1285 | 1313 | 46% | 2006-01-30 | Lost |
| 1157 | 994 | 72% | 2005-07-27 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1208 | 30% | 2005-05-14 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2005-04-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1082.5 vs 1112.4 has a 45.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).