Scotch on the Rocks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (13 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 43
Defender wins (German): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 902 | 968 | 41% | 2025-03-30 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2019-05-28 | Won |
| 1216 | 1094 | 67% | 2018-07-19 | Won |
| 1073 | 876 | 76% | 2018-04-17 | Won |
| 1077 | 876 | 76% | 2018-04-17 | Won |
| 892 | 1216 | 13% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1340 | 24% | 2016-12-26 | Lost |
| 614 | 879 | 18% | 2016-09-22 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1064 | 61% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 990 | 886 | 65% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 2001-09-18 | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 1997-08-01 | Won |
| 1174 | 982 | 75% | 1996-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 988.8 vs 1012.7 has a 46.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).