Scotch on the Rocks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (13 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 44
Defender wins (German): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 904 | 968 | 41% | 2025-03-30 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2019-05-28 | Won |
| 1218 | 1095 | 67% | 2018-07-19 | Won |
| 1022 | 876 | 70% | 2018-04-17 | Won |
| 960 | 876 | 62% | 2018-04-17 | Won |
| 893 | 1218 | 13% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1234 | 37% | 2016-12-26 | Lost |
| 613 | 879 | 18% | 2016-09-22 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1066 | 69% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 990 | 884 | 65% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2001-09-18 | Won |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 1997-08-01 | Won |
| 1159 | 982 | 73% | 1996-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 977.5 vs 1005 has a 46.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).