Alaric's Return
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7 (3 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Italian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1121 | 1041 | 61% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 922 | 1234 | 14% | 2011-01-15 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1119 | 41% | 2004-08-10 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1033.7 vs 1131.3 has a 36.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).