Lenin's Sons
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 40
Defender wins (Russian): 42
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1035 | 1020 | 52% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 978 | 1035 | 42% | 2025-03-26 | Won |
| 1219 | 1219 | 50% | 2024-10-22 | Lost |
| 873 | 1218 | 12% | 2024-10-02 | Lost |
| 1209 | 975 | 79% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 1057 | 1309 | 19% | 2024-03-23 | Lost |
| 923 | 961 | 45% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1030 | 54% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 980 | 1032 | 43% | 2023-11-16 | Lost |
| 1007 | 845 | 72% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 991 | 969 | 53% | 2023-09-05 | Won |
| 1057 | 969 | 62% | 2023-08-14 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1025 | 66% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 976 | 951 | 54% | 2023-06-24 | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-06-22 | Lost |
| 951 | 893 | 58% | 2023-06-19 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-04-30 | Won |
| 1111 | 1126 | 48% | 2023-04-01 | Won |
| 1431 | 954 | 94% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 1130 | 1029 | 64% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2022-02-17 | Won |
| 1137 | 975 | 72% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 964 | 983 | 47% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 989 | 1219 | 21% | 2021-09-06 | Won |
| 981 | 1009 | 46% | 2021-07-28 | Lost |
| 992 | 1173 | 26% | 2021-07-26 | Lost |
| 1009 | 959 | 57% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 954 | 1061 | 35% | 2021-01-31 | Won |
| 913 | 928 | 48% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1032 | 967 | 59% | 2020-08-27 | Won |
| 1060 | 1035 | 54% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1011 | 1009 | 50% | 2020-01-02 | Lost |
| 974 | 976 | 50% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1219 | 35% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 957 | 1027 | 40% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 619 | 877 | 18% | 2019-07-04 | Won |
| 1027 | 915 | 66% | 2019-04-14 | Lost |
| 997 | 1027 | 46% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1061 | 1009 | 57% | 2018-05-20 | Won |
| 1110 | 958 | 71% | 2018-03-25 | Won |
| 1136 | 982 | 71% | 2018-01-23 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1216 | 29% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
| 1091 | 1153 | 41% | 2017-09-02 | Lost |
| 1048 | 913 | 69% | 2017-08-11 | Won |
| 913 | 1056 | 31% | 2017-07-08 | Won |
| 1152 | 1309 | 29% | 2017-02-06 | Lost |
| 1018 | 952 | 59% | 2017-01-31 | Lost |
| 1145 | 999 | 70% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 999 | 1114 | 34% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1061 | 43% | 2015-08-19 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1029 | 46% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1091 | 66% | 2014-10-08 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1144 | 40% | 2014-04-29 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 972 | 1108 | 31% | 2013-07-25 | Won |
| 1203 | 1061 | 69% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 747 | 697 | 57% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1025 | 921 | 65% | 2012-05-14 | Won |
| 1097 | 697 | 91% | 2011-10-15 | Lost |
| 929 | 1009 | 39% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 996 | 1097 | 36% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1010 | 1029 | 47% | 2011-04-22 | Won |
| 1011 | 1056 | 44% | 2011-04-16 | Won |
| 909 | 1037 | 32% | 2010-03-14 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1039 | 53% | 2010-02-12 | Won |
| 1110 | 1202 | 37% | 2009-12-11 | Won |
| 1002 | 823 | 74% | 2009-07-16 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2009-03-20 | Won |
| 979 | 1309 | 13% | 2008-06-09 | Lost |
| 984 | 999 | 48% | 2007-07-07 | Won |
| 1012 | 1209 | 24% | 2007-04-28 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1009 | 57% | 2007-03-08 | Won |
| 1025 | 1013 | 52% | 2007-02-17 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-01-27 | Lost |
| 1002 | 957 | 56% | 2006-12-09 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1228 | 23% | 2006-11-30 | Won |
| 851 | 1209 | 11% | 2006-10-28 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1029 | 48% | 2006-10-03 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-09-13 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2006-09-13 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2006-09-12 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-09-07 | Lost |
| 954 | 1041 | 38% | 2006-08-13 | Lost |
Attacking (40 wins) average ELOs: 1036.2 vs 1042.5 has a 49.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).