Lenin's Sons
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 40
Defender wins (Russian): 42
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1028 | 1072 | 44% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 991 | 1028 | 45% | 2025-03-26 | Won |
| 1224 | 1224 | 50% | 2024-10-22 | Lost |
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2024-10-02 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1022 | 72% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 1057 | 1310 | 19% | 2024-03-23 | Lost |
| 1016 | 994 | 53% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1030 | 46% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 980 | 1046 | 41% | 2023-11-16 | Lost |
| 1008 | 873 | 69% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1018 | 969 | 57% | 2023-09-05 | Won |
| 1057 | 968 | 63% | 2023-08-14 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1014 | 68% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 976 | 956 | 53% | 2023-06-24 | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-06-22 | Lost |
| 956 | 891 | 59% | 2023-06-19 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-04-30 | Won |
| 1149 | 1126 | 53% | 2023-04-01 | Won |
| 1431 | 954 | 94% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 1130 | 1036 | 63% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2022-02-17 | Won |
| 1094 | 998 | 63% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 929 | 983 | 42% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 1011 | 1219 | 23% | 2021-09-06 | Won |
| 981 | 1009 | 46% | 2021-07-28 | Lost |
| 992 | 1173 | 26% | 2021-07-26 | Lost |
| 1009 | 958 | 57% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 943 | 1005 | 41% | 2021-01-31 | Won |
| 903 | 903 | 50% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1032 | 967 | 59% | 2020-08-27 | Won |
| 1116 | 1070 | 57% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 991 | 1009 | 47% | 2020-01-02 | Lost |
| 974 | 976 | 50% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1219 | 35% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 957 | 1046 | 37% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 620 | 877 | 19% | 2019-07-04 | Won |
| 1046 | 915 | 68% | 2019-04-14 | Lost |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1089 | 1009 | 61% | 2018-05-20 | Won |
| 1110 | 958 | 71% | 2018-03-25 | Won |
| 1154 | 982 | 73% | 2018-01-23 | Lost |
| 996 | 1236 | 20% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
| 1091 | 1136 | 44% | 2017-09-02 | Lost |
| 1048 | 903 | 70% | 2017-08-11 | Won |
| 903 | 1056 | 29% | 2017-07-08 | Won |
| 1152 | 1310 | 29% | 2017-02-06 | Lost |
| 1018 | 952 | 59% | 2017-01-31 | Lost |
| 1145 | 999 | 70% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1005 | 51% | 2015-08-19 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1029 | 46% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1084 | 67% | 2014-10-08 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1145 | 36% | 2014-04-29 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 972 | 1085 | 34% | 2013-07-25 | Won |
| 1132 | 1005 | 68% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 747 | 697 | 57% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1014 | 921 | 63% | 2012-05-14 | Won |
| 1140 | 697 | 93% | 2011-10-15 | Lost |
| 928 | 1009 | 39% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 996 | 1140 | 30% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1010 | 1029 | 47% | 2011-04-22 | Won |
| 1011 | 1056 | 44% | 2011-04-16 | Won |
| 959 | 987 | 46% | 2010-03-14 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1058 | 42% | 2010-02-12 | Won |
| 1110 | 1202 | 37% | 2009-12-11 | Won |
| 1019 | 823 | 76% | 2009-07-16 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2009-03-20 | Won |
| 979 | 1310 | 13% | 2008-06-09 | Lost |
| 984 | 999 | 48% | 2007-07-07 | Won |
| 1012 | 1189 | 27% | 2007-04-28 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1031 | 54% | 2007-03-08 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2007-02-17 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-01-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 957 | 59% | 2006-12-09 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1228 | 23% | 2006-11-30 | Won |
| 851 | 1189 | 13% | 2006-10-28 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1029 | 48% | 2006-10-03 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-09-13 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2006-09-13 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2006-09-12 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-09-07 | Lost |
| 954 | 1041 | 38% | 2006-08-13 | Lost |
Attacking (40 wins) average ELOs: 1035.9 vs 1042.1 has a 49.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).