Flea Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Italian): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 1219 | 18% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-09-08 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 1032 | 994 | 55% | 2014-05-11 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1126 | 39% | 2013-11-22 | Lost |
| 1038 | 932 | 65% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
| 1187 | 1133 | 58% | 2008-12-06 | Lost |
| 1008 | 986 | 53% | 2007-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1071.3 vs 1063.8 has a 51.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).