Flea Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (8 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Italian): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
959 | 1284 | 13% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2019-09-08 | Lost |
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
1006 | 1041 | 45% | 2014-05-11 | Lost |
1185 | 1181 | 51% | 2013-11-22 | Lost |
989 | 933 | 58% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
1188 | 1142 | 57% | 2008-12-06 | Lost |
1001 | 992 | 51% | 2007-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1048 vs 1088.8 has a 44.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).