Waltzing the Matildas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (8 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 14
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1057 | 1000 | 58% | 2026-05-24 | | Won |
| 1069 | 937 | 68% | 2024-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 900 | 82% | 2022-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2017-03-30 | | Lost |
| 902 | 1435 | 4% | 2015-05-06 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2012-01-01 | | Lost |
| 695 | 1069 | 10% | 2009-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2008-04-25 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 969.6 vs 1087.3 has a 33.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).