Purple Heart Draw
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1175 | 1086 | 63% | 2021-02-22 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2019-02-12 | Won |
| 1219 | 938 | 83% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 912 | 1236 | 13% | 2017-09-03 | Lost |
| 1236 | 1016 | 78% | 2017-08-16 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1044 | 51% | 2015-04-17 | Won |
| 1054 | 1044 | 51% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
| 982 | 959 | 53% | 2013-12-28 | Lost |
| 970 | 996 | 46% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 976 | 1058 | 38% | 2013-02-05 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1018 | 78% | 2011-07-18 | Won |
| 1175 | 1010 | 72% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1140 | 54% | 2010-03-18 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1016 | 53% | 2009-04-17 | Tied |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1085.9 vs 1038.5 has a 56.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).