Purple Heart Draw
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1193 | 1072 | 67% | 2021-02-22 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2019-02-12 | Won |
| 1216 | 939 | 83% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 983 | 1216 | 21% | 2017-09-03 | Lost |
| 1216 | 994 | 78% | 2017-08-16 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1057 | 49% | 2015-04-17 | Won |
| 1053 | 1057 | 49% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
| 982 | 952 | 54% | 2013-12-28 | Lost |
| 970 | 996 | 46% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 977 | 1058 | 39% | 2013-02-05 | Lost |
| 1244 | 1019 | 79% | 2011-07-18 | Won |
| 1193 | 1032 | 72% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1072 | 63% | 2010-03-18 | Lost |
| 1034 | 994 | 56% | 2009-04-17 | Tied |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1091.3 vs 1031.7 has a 58.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).