Frontiers and Pioneers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 987 | 62% | 2025-07-18 | Won |
| 1135 | 1242 | 35% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1135 | 52% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1142 | 50% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 1010 | 935 | 61% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
| 1046 | 1028 | 53% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1036 | 42% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1044 | 74% | 2020-04-23 | Won |
| 1219 | 1049 | 73% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
| 1127 | 857 | 83% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2016-10-30 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1181 | 34% | 2016-02-03 | Lost |
| 1143 | 949 | 75% | 2015-11-10 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1009 | 54% | 2015-11-09 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1045 | 66% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
| 1181 | 1038 | 69% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 987 | 1118 | 32% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1044 | 914 | 68% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
| 1109 | 1060 | 57% | 2011-03-22 | Won |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2010-12-06 | Won |
| 1151 | 1081 | 60% | 2010-09-20 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1158 | 32% | 2010-02-15 | Won |
| 1254 | 1152 | 64% | 2009-12-04 | Won |
| 1104 | 1115 | 48% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
| 1044 | 892 | 71% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 932 | 1029 | 36% | 2009-10-24 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2009-09-20 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1044 | 50% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 1011 | 866 | 70% | 2009-08-07 | Won |
| 949 | 1025 | 39% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1098 | 55% | 2009-07-11 | Won |
| 1106 | 1055 | 57% | 2009-05-27 | Won |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1086.9 vs 1052.3 has a 54.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).