Frontiers and Pioneers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 987 | 62% | 2025-07-18 | Won |
| 1176 | 1180 | 49% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1176 | 53% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1175 | 46% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 1063 | 967 | 63% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
| 1037 | 1031 | 51% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1045 | 41% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 983 | 80% | 2020-04-23 | Won |
| 1217 | 1050 | 72% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 1098 | 977 | 67% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
| 1116 | 851 | 82% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2016-10-30 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1198 | 32% | 2016-02-03 | Lost |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2015-11-10 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1002 | 52% | 2015-11-09 | Lost |
| 1260 | 1047 | 77% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
| 1079 | 1036 | 56% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 949 | 1075 | 33% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1081 | 925 | 71% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
| 1125 | 1098 | 54% | 2011-03-22 | Won |
| 1089 | 1109 | 47% | 2010-12-06 | Won |
| 1200 | 1083 | 66% | 2010-09-20 | Lost |
| 980 | 1068 | 38% | 2010-02-27 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1260 | 21% | 2010-02-15 | Won |
| 1283 | 1338 | 42% | 2010-01-03 | Won |
| 1276 | 1140 | 69% | 2009-12-04 | Won |
| 1111 | 1159 | 43% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
| 1105 | 893 | 77% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 959 | 1030 | 40% | 2009-10-24 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2009-09-20 | Lost |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 865 | 70% | 2009-08-07 | Won |
| 1023 | 1025 | 50% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1072 | 59% | 2009-07-11 | Won |
| 1098 | 1037 | 59% | 2009-05-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 1260 | 25% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1101.2 vs 1067.9 has a 54.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).