Alligator Tanks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (15 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (Japanese): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1178 | 949 | 79% | 2024-01-14 | Lost |
| 966 | 974 | 49% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 917 | 1011 | 37% | 2020-07-25 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-02 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1019 | 55% | 2020-02-20 | Lost |
| 1183 | 922 | 82% | 2019-03-09 | Lost |
| 1051 | 990 | 59% | 2018-11-28 | Won |
| 998 | 1070 | 40% | 2018-05-14 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1224 | 23% | 2015-05-19 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1126 | 37% | 2012-05-10 | Lost |
| 1050 | 693 | 89% | 2011-01-25 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1186 | 27% | 2010-11-12 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1056.6 vs 1027.9 has a 54.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).