Alligator Tanks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (15 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (Japanese): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1123 | 968 | 71% | 2024-01-14 | Lost |
| 966 | 965 | 50% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 871 | 1015 | 30% | 2020-07-25 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-02 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1034 | 63% | 2020-02-20 | Lost |
| 1080 | 941 | 69% | 2019-03-09 | Lost |
| 969 | 993 | 47% | 2018-11-28 | Won |
| 1178 | 901 | 83% | 2018-05-14 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1223 | 23% | 2015-05-19 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1125 | 37% | 2012-05-10 | Lost |
| 1022 | 694 | 87% | 2011-01-25 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1178 | 35% | 2010-11-12 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1053.5 vs 1015.7 has a 55.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).