Alligator Tanks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (15 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (Japanese): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1213 | 909 | 85% | 2024-01-14 | | Lost |
| 982 | 955 | 54% | 2020-10-09 | | Lost |
| 799 | 1084 | 16% | 2020-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2020-05-02 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1014 | 42% | 2020-02-20 | | Lost |
| 1166 | 955 | 77% | 2019-03-09 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2018-11-28 | | Won |
| 948 | 1034 | 38% | 2018-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 1052 | 68% | 2017-05-29 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 1023 | 72% | 2017-05-29 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2015-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2012-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1041 | 695 | 88% | 2011-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1068 | 942 | 67% | 2010-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1202 | 24% | | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1042 vs 1001.8 has a 55.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).